Current House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy does not have the votes to become Speaker of the House, and depending on who you want to believe, could have as many as twenty firm “no” votes within his own caucus. That’s a tough hurdle when you only have a four-seat majority.
We’ll see what happens. But if House Republicans can’t find 218 votes for McCarthy, then they won’t be able to find 218 votes for some other more polarizing figure like Marjorie Taylor Greene either. It’s McCarthy or bust for them. The only thing that might save McCarthy is if House Republicans get scared after they see House Democrats nominate someone like Liz Cheney for Speaker, with the support of four or more House Republicans representing moderate districts.
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